Indy + vs Louisville +: Team Comparison
Indy +vsLouisville + 
Comparing Indy + and Louisville + across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Indy + — a 34% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 36%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Indy + carry the stronger recent form, Indy + project for more goals (2.22 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Indy + | Metric | Louisville + |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 34% | Win probability | 30% |
| L L W W | Recent form | W L L L |
| 2.22 | Expected goals | 1.84 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Indy + or Louisville +?
The model favours Indy + at 34%, with the draw at 36%.