England vs New Zealand: Team Comparison

England EnglandvsNew Zealand New Zealand

Comparing England and New Zealand across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward England — a 87% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 4%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: England project for more goals (2.44 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

EnglandMetricNew Zealand
82Strength rating35
87%Win probability9%
Recent form
2.44Expected goals0.27
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, England or New Zealand?

The model favours England at 87%, with the draw at 4%.