England vs New Zealand: Team Comparison
Comparing England and New Zealand across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward England — a 87% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 4%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: England project for more goals (2.44 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| England | Metric | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 87% | Win probability | 9% |
| — | Recent form | — |
| 2.44 | Expected goals | 0.27 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, England or New Zealand?
The model favours England at 87%, with the draw at 4%.