Club Deportivo El Nacional vs Universidad Catolica Quito: Team Comparison
Club Deportivo El NacionalvsUniversidad Catolica Quito 
Comparing Club Deportivo El Nacional and Universidad Catolica Quito across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Universidad Catolica Quito — a 26% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 64%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Universidad Catolica Quito carry the stronger recent form, Universidad Catolica Quito project for more goals (1.44 xG), Universidad Catolica Quito have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Club Deportivo El Nacional | Metric | Universidad Catolica Quito |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 10% | Win probability | 26% |
| L L D L L | Recent form | W D L L L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals | 1.44 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Club Deportivo El Nacional or Universidad Catolica Quito?
The model favours Universidad Catolica Quito at 26%, with the draw at 64%.