Lesotho vs Kenya: Team Comparison
LesothovsKenya 
Comparing Lesotho and Kenya across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Kenya — a 28% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 48%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Kenya carry the stronger recent form, Lesotho have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Lesotho | Metric | Kenya |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Strength rating | 48 |
| 24% | Win probability | 28% |
| L D W D L | Recent form | W W L W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.31 | Expected goals | 1.28 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Lesotho or Kenya?
The model favours Kenya at 28%, with the draw at 48%.