Mariehamn vs Gnistan: Team Comparison
MariehamnvsGnistan 
Comparing Mariehamn and Gnistan across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Mariehamn — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Mariehamn project for more goals (1.47 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Mariehamn | Metric | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| L L L | Recent form | — |
| 1.47 | Expected goals | 1.14 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Mariehamn or Gnistan?
The model favours Mariehamn at 41%, with the draw at 27%.