Malaga vs Las Palmas: Team Comparison
MalagavsLas Palmas 
Comparing Malaga and Las Palmas across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Malaga — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Las Palmas carry the stronger recent form, Malaga project for more goals (1.53 xG), Malaga have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Malaga | Metric | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 57 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| L W D W L | Recent form | W W D W L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.53 | Expected goals | 1.09 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Malaga or Las Palmas?
The model favours Malaga at 43%, with the draw at 26%.