Harry Kane vs Erling Braut Haaland: Team Comparison
Harry KanevsErling Braut Haaland 
Comparing Harry Kane and Erling Braut Haaland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Harry Kane — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Harry Kane project for more goals (1.85 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Harry Kane | Metric | Erling Braut Haaland |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 59% | Win probability | 17% |
| — | Recent form | — |
| 1.85 | Expected goals | 0.75 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Harry Kane or Erling Braut Haaland?
The model favours Harry Kane at 59%, with the draw at 23%.