Toulouse vs Lyon: Team Comparison
ToulousevsLyon 
Comparing Toulouse and Lyon across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Lyon — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toulouse carry the stronger recent form, Lyon project for more goals (1.50 xG), Lyon have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Toulouse | Metric | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Strength rating | 65 |
| 27% | Win probability | 49% |
| L W W D D | Recent form | W L L W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 10 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals | 1.50 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Toulouse or Lyon?
The model favours Lyon at 49%, with the draw at 24%.