Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro Esporte Clube: Team Comparison
ChapecoensevsCruzeiro Esporte Clube 
Comparing Chapecoense and Cruzeiro Esporte Clube across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chapecoense — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cruzeiro Esporte Clube carry the stronger recent form, Chapecoense project for more goals (1.19 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chapecoense | Metric | Cruzeiro Esporte Clube |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| D D D L L | Recent form | D W L W W |
| 1.19 | Expected goals | 0.98 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chapecoense or Cruzeiro Esporte Clube?
The model favours Chapecoense at 39%, with the draw at 26%.