West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions: Team Comparison
West AdelaidevsSturt Lions 
Comparing West Adelaide and Sturt Lions across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward West Adelaide — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sturt Lions carry the stronger recent form, West Adelaide project for more goals (1.55 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| West Adelaide | Metric | Sturt Lions |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| D L D D L | Recent form | D W L W L |
| 1.55 | Expected goals | 1.29 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, West Adelaide or Sturt Lions?
The model favours West Adelaide at 39%, with the draw at 26%.