Ituano vs Ferroviaria: Team Comparison
ItuanovsFerroviaria 
Comparing Ituano and Ferroviaria across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ituano — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ferroviaria carry the stronger recent form, Ituano project for more goals (1.20 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ituano | Metric | Ferroviaria |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| L L D D D | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 1.20 | Expected goals | 1.01 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ituano or Ferroviaria?
The model favours Ituano at 39%, with the draw at 26%.