Criciuma vs Vila Nova: Team Comparison
CriciumavsVila Nova 
Comparing Criciuma and Vila Nova across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Criciuma — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Criciuma carry the stronger recent form, Criciuma project for more goals (1.46 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Criciuma | Metric | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | L L W L W |
| 1.46 | Expected goals | 1.04 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Criciuma or Vila Nova?
The model favours Criciuma at 43%, with the draw at 26%.