C.A. Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: Team Comparison
C.A. ProgresovsDeportivo Maldonado 
Comparing C.A. Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward C.A. Progreso — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Maldonado carry the stronger recent form, C.A. Progreso project for more goals (1.63 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| C.A. Progreso | Metric | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 42% | Win probability | 32% |
| W L L W | Recent form | L D W W |
| 1.63 | Expected goals | 1.19 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, C.A. Progreso or Deportivo Maldonado?
The model favours C.A. Progreso at 42%, with the draw at 26%.