Derry City vs Tolka Rovers: Team Comparison
Derry CityvsTolka Rovers 
Comparing Derry City and Tolka Rovers across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Derry City — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Derry City project for more goals (1.54 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Derry City | Metric | Tolka Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| L W L L L | Recent form | L L D L W |
| 1.54 | Expected goals | 1.19 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Derry City or Tolka Rovers?
The model favours Derry City at 41%, with the draw at 27%.