America Minas Gerais vs Ceara: Team Comparison
America Minas GeraisvsCeara 
Comparing America Minas Gerais and Ceara across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward America Minas Gerais — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: America Minas Gerais project for more goals (1.20 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| America Minas Gerais | Metric | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| D D L L L | Recent form | D D L L L |
| 1.20 | Expected goals | 0.93 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, America Minas Gerais or Ceara?
The model favours America Minas Gerais at 41%, with the draw at 27%.