Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC: Team Comparison
Vila NovavsFortaleza EC 
Comparing Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Vila Nova — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Fortaleza EC carry the stronger recent form, Vila Nova project for more goals (1.33 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Vila Nova | Metric | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| W L L W L | Recent form | L W L W W |
| 1.33 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Vila Nova or Fortaleza EC?
The model favours Vila Nova at 41%, with the draw at 27%.