New York City vs Chicago Fire: Team Comparison
New York CityvsChicago Fire 
Comparing New York City and Chicago Fire across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward New York City — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: New York City carry the stronger recent form, New York City project for more goals (2.08 xG), Chicago Fire have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York City | Metric | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 42% | Win probability | 34% |
| L W W W W | Recent form | L L D W L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 2.08 | Expected goals | 1.59 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York City or Chicago Fire?
The model favours New York City at 42%, with the draw at 24%.