Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic: Team Comparison
Ayr UnitedvsAlloa Athletic 
Comparing Ayr United and Alloa Athletic across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ayr United — a 95% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 4%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ayr United carry the stronger recent form, Ayr United project for more goals (2.65 xG), Ayr United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ayr United | Metric | Alloa Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Strength rating | 31 |
| 95% | Win probability | 1% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.65 | Expected goals | 0.20 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ayr United or Alloa Athletic?
The model favours Ayr United at 95%, with the draw at 4%.