South Melbourne vs Adelaide United: Team Comparison
South MelbournevsAdelaide United 
Comparing South Melbourne and Adelaide United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward South Melbourne — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: South Melbourne project for more goals (1.24 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| South Melbourne | Metric | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| W W D W W | Recent form | — |
| 1.24 | Expected goals | 0.96 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, South Melbourne or Adelaide United?
The model favours South Melbourne at 41%, with the draw at 27%.