Spain vs Croatia: Team Comparison
SpainvsCroatia 
Comparing Spain and Croatia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Spain — a 70% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Spain carry the stronger recent form, Spain project for more goals (2.32 xG), Spain have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Spain | Metric | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Strength rating | 32 |
| 70% | Win probability | 10% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | L W W L W |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.32 | Expected goals | 0.58 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Spain or Croatia?
The model favours Spain at 70%, with the draw at 20%.