Heart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz: Team Comparison
Heart of MidlothianvsSturm Graz 
Comparing Heart of Midlothian and Sturm Graz across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Heart of Midlothian — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sturm Graz carry the stronger recent form, Heart of Midlothian project for more goals (1.58 xG), Heart of Midlothian have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Heart of Midlothian | Metric | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 46% | Win probability | 31% |
| L L L L D | Recent form | W L W L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals | 1.04 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Heart of Midlothian or Sturm Graz?
The model favours Heart of Midlothian at 46%, with the draw at 23%.