Orlando City vs Cincinnati: Team Comparison
Orlando CityvsCincinnati 
Comparing Orlando City and Cincinnati across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Orlando City — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cincinnati carry the stronger recent form, Orlando City project for more goals (2.10 xG), Cincinnati have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Orlando City | Metric | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Strength rating | 59 |
| 42% | Win probability | 37% |
| L L L L L | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 2.10 | Expected goals | 1.73 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Orlando City or Cincinnati?
The model favours Orlando City at 42%, with the draw at 21%.