Coritiba vs Chapecoense: Team Comparison
CoritibavsChapecoense 
Comparing Coritiba and Chapecoense across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Coritiba — a 58% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Coritiba project for more goals (1.02 xG), Coritiba have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Coritiba | Metric | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 58% | Win probability | 19% |
| L D D W L | Recent form | W D W L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.02 | Expected goals | 0.41 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Coritiba or Chapecoense?
The model favours Coritiba at 58%, with the draw at 23%.