East Timor vs Indonesia: Team Comparison
East TimorvsIndonesia 
Comparing East Timor and Indonesia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward East Timor — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Indonesia carry the stronger recent form, East Timor project for more goals (1.72 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| East Timor | Metric | Indonesia |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 66 |
| 39% | Win probability | 36% |
| L L L W | Recent form | W W W |
| 1.72 | Expected goals | 1.46 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, East Timor or Indonesia?
The model favours East Timor at 39%, with the draw at 26%.