Vila Nova vs Sport Club do Recife: Team Comparison
Vila NovavsSport Club do Recife 
Comparing Vila Nova and Sport Club do Recife across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Vila Nova — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sport Club do Recife carry the stronger recent form, Vila Nova project for more goals (1.25 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Vila Nova | Metric | Sport Club do Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 58 |
| 39% | Win probability | 36% |
| L L L W L | Recent form | W D D D D |
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 1.06 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Vila Nova or Sport Club do Recife?
The model favours Vila Nova at 39%, with the draw at 26%.