Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers: Team Comparison
PenarolvsMontevideo Wanderers 
Comparing Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Penarol — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Penarol project for more goals (1.74 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Penarol | Metric | Montevideo Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 49 |
| 43% | Win probability | 32% |
| W W L D W | Recent form | L W D W W |
| 1.74 | Expected goals | 1.26 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Penarol or Montevideo Wanderers?
The model favours Penarol at 43%, with the draw at 26%.