Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno: Team Comparison
Sportivo AmelianovsCerro Porteno 
Comparing Sportivo Ameliano and Cerro Porteno across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sportivo Ameliano — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sportivo Ameliano carry the stronger recent form, Sportivo Ameliano project for more goals (1.46 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sportivo Ameliano | Metric | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W D D D | Recent form | L W L L W |
| 1.46 | Expected goals | 1.05 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sportivo Ameliano or Cerro Porteno?
The model favours Sportivo Ameliano at 43%, with the draw at 26%.