Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar: Team Comparison
UtrechtvsAZ Alkmaar 
Comparing Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Utrecht — a 38% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: AZ Alkmaar carry the stronger recent form, Utrecht project for more goals (1.38 xG), Utrecht have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Utrecht | Metric | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 38% | Win probability | 37% |
| L L L L L | Recent form | W W W D L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals | 1.22 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Utrecht or AZ Alkmaar?
The model favours Utrecht at 38%, with the draw at 25%.