Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma: Team Comparison
Kagoshima UnitedvsThespa Gunma 
Comparing Kagoshima United and Thespa Gunma across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Kagoshima United — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Kagoshima United carry the stronger recent form, Kagoshima United project for more goals (1.25 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Kagoshima United | Metric | Thespa Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W W W | Recent form | L L L |
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 0.89 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Kagoshima United or Thespa Gunma?
The model favours Kagoshima United at 43%, with the draw at 26%.