Maroons vs Villa: Team Comparison
MaroonsvsVilla 
Comparing Maroons and Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Maroons — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Villa carry the stronger recent form, Maroons project for more goals (1.12 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Maroons | Metric | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Strength rating | 56 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| L D D D | Recent form | W D D D L |
| 1.12 | Expected goals | 0.94 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Maroons or Villa?
The model favours Maroons at 39%, with the draw at 26%.