N.E.C. vs Excelsior: Team Comparison
N.E.C.vsExcelsior 
Comparing N.E.C. and Excelsior across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward N.E.C. — a 66% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: N.E.C. carry the stronger recent form, N.E.C. project for more goals (2.07 xG), Excelsior have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| N.E.C. | Metric | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 84 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 66% | Win probability | 14% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | W L W D W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 2.07 | Expected goals | 0.60 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, N.E.C. or Excelsior?
The model favours N.E.C. at 66%, with the draw at 19%.