Home vs Away: Team Comparison
HomevsAway Comparing Home and Away across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Home — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Home project for more goals (1.47 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Home | Metric | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| — | Recent form | — |
| 1.47 | Expected goals | 1.14 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Home or Away?
The model favours Home at 41%, with the draw at 27%.