Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol: Team Comparison
Deportivo MaldonadovsPenarol 
Comparing Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Deportivo Maldonado — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Penarol carry the stronger recent form, Deportivo Maldonado project for more goals (1.57 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Maldonado | Metric | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 56 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| D W D D D | Recent form | D W D W W |
| 1.57 | Expected goals | 1.21 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Maldonado or Penarol?
The model favours Deportivo Maldonado at 41%, with the draw at 27%.