Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: Team Comparison
Cerro LargovsDefensor Sporting 
Comparing Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Cerro Largo — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cerro Largo carry the stronger recent form, Cerro Largo project for more goals (1.10 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Cerro Largo | Metric | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| D D D L D | Recent form | D L L W L |
| 1.10 | Expected goals | 0.85 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Cerro Largo or Defensor Sporting?
The model favours Cerro Largo at 41%, with the draw at 27%.