Toronto vs New York City: Team Comparison
TorontovsNew York City 
Comparing Toronto and New York City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Toronto — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toronto project for more goals (1.61 xG), Toronto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Toronto | Metric | New York City |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 42% | Win probability | 36% |
| L W W L L | Recent form | W D L D L |
| 9 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals | 1.29 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Toronto or New York City?
The model favours Toronto at 42%, with the draw at 22%.