Roma vs Atalanta: Team Comparison
RomavsAtalanta 
Comparing Roma and Atalanta across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Roma — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atalanta carry the stronger recent form, Roma project for more goals (1.64 xG), Atalanta have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Roma | Metric | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 58 |
| 47% | Win probability | 27% |
| W D L W L | Recent form | W D W W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 9 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals | 0.98 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Roma or Atalanta?
The model favours Roma at 47%, with the draw at 26%.