Union Berlin vs Schalke 04: Team Comparison
Union BerlinvsSchalke 04 
Comparing Union Berlin and Schalke 04 across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Union Berlin — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Union Berlin carry the stronger recent form, Union Berlin project for more goals (1.53 xG), Schalke 04 have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Union Berlin | Metric | Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| L D W L W | Recent form | D L W L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.53 | Expected goals | 1.09 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Union Berlin or Schalke 04?
The model favours Union Berlin at 43%, with the draw at 26%.