Chelsea vs Leeds United: Team Comparison
ChelseavsLeeds United 
Comparing Chelsea and Leeds United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 63% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chelsea project for more goals (2.80 xG), Chelsea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chelsea | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 63% | Win probability | 17% |
| L W W W W | Recent form | D D W W W |
| 9 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 2.80 | Expected goals | 0.93 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chelsea or Leeds United?
The model favours Chelsea at 63%, with the draw at 20%.