San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Boca Juniors: Team Comparison
San Lorenzo de AlmagrovsBoca Juniors 
Comparing San Lorenzo de Almagro and Boca Juniors across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward San Lorenzo de Almagro — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: San Lorenzo de Almagro project for more goals (1.21 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| San Lorenzo de Almagro | Metric | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 56 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| — | Recent form | D W W |
| 1.21 | Expected goals | 0.93 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, San Lorenzo de Almagro or Boca Juniors?
The model favours San Lorenzo de Almagro at 41%, with the draw at 27%.