Zambia vs Togo: Team Comparison
ZambiavsTogo 
Comparing Zambia and Togo across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Zambia — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 32%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Zambia carry the stronger recent form, Zambia project for more goals (1.49 xG), Zambia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Zambia | Metric | Togo |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 42% | Win probability | 27% |
| L L D W D | Recent form | L L L L W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.49 | Expected goals | 1.11 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Zambia or Togo?
The model favours Zambia at 42%, with the draw at 32%.