Denmark vs Portugal: Team Comparison
Comparing Denmark and Portugal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Portugal — a 44% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Denmark carry the stronger recent form, Portugal project for more goals (1.48 xG), Denmark have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Denmark | Metric | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 30% | Win probability | 44% |
| W L W L D | Recent form | L L L D L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.12 | Expected goals | 1.48 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Denmark or Portugal?
The model favours Portugal at 44%, with the draw at 26%.