Roma vs Real Madrid: Team Comparison
RomavsReal Madrid 
Comparing Roma and Real Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Real Madrid — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Roma carry the stronger recent form, Real Madrid project for more goals (1.59 xG), Real Madrid have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Roma | Metric | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 30% | Win probability | 46% |
| D W D W W | Recent form | L W W W L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals | 1.59 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Roma or Real Madrid?
The model favours Real Madrid at 46%, with the draw at 25%.