Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: Team Comparison
Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens 
Comparing Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Shakhtar Donetsk — a 38% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Shakhtar Donetsk project for more goals (1.15 xG), Shakhtar Donetsk have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Metric | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 38% | Win probability | 36% |
| W L D L L | Recent form | L L W L D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.15 | Expected goals | 1.00 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Shakhtar Donetsk or AEK Athens?
The model favours Shakhtar Donetsk at 38%, with the draw at 26%.