Atlanta United vs New York City: Team Comparison
Atlanta UnitedvsNew York City 
Comparing Atlanta United and New York City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Atlanta United — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atlanta United carry the stronger recent form, Atlanta United project for more goals (1.26 xG), Atlanta United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Atlanta United | Metric | New York City |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W W W D D | Recent form | D W D W L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.26 | Expected goals | 0.90 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Atlanta United or New York City?
The model favours Atlanta United at 43%, with the draw at 25%.