Ajax vs N.E.C.: Team Comparison
AjaxvsN.E.C. 
Comparing Ajax and N.E.C. across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ajax — a 75% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 15%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ajax carry the stronger recent form, Ajax project for more goals (4.48 xG), Ajax have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ajax | Metric | N.E.C. |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Strength rating | 24 |
| 75% | Win probability | 10% |
| D W W L W | Recent form | D L L D L |
| 8 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 4.48 | Expected goals | 0.84 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ajax or N.E.C.?
The model favours Ajax at 75%, with the draw at 15%.