Benfica vs Celtic: Team Comparison
BenficavsCeltic 
Comparing Benfica and Celtic across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Benfica — a 75% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 16%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Benfica carry the stronger recent form, Benfica project for more goals (2.54 xG), Benfica have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Benfica | Metric | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Strength rating | 26 |
| 75% | Win probability | 9% |
| L W W W W | Recent form | L L L W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.54 | Expected goals | 0.46 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Benfica or Celtic?
The model favours Benfica at 75%, with the draw at 16%.