Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: Team Comparison
Union BerlinvsBorussia Dortmund 
Comparing Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Borussia Dortmund — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger recent form, Borussia Dortmund project for more goals (1.72 xG), Borussia Dortmund have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Union Berlin | Metric | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Strength rating | 79 |
| 20% | Win probability | 59% |
| W W L L L | Recent form | D W W W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 0.83 | Expected goals | 1.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund?
The model favours Borussia Dortmund at 59%, with the draw at 21%.