Milan vs Atalanta: Team Comparison
MilanvsAtalanta 
Comparing Milan and Atalanta across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Milan — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Milan carry the stronger recent form, Milan project for more goals (1.95 xG), Atalanta have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Milan | Metric | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 52% | Win probability | 24% |
| W L D D W | Recent form | L L L W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 1.95 | Expected goals | 0.99 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Milan or Atalanta?
The model favours Milan at 52%, with the draw at 24%.