Sao Paulo vs Santos: Team Comparison
Sao PaulovsSantos 
Comparing Sao Paulo and Santos across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sao Paulo — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sao Paulo carry the stronger recent form, Sao Paulo project for more goals (2.40 xG), Santos have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sao Paulo | Metric | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 49% | Win probability | 24% |
| W L L L W | Recent form | L D L L L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 2.40 | Expected goals | 1.29 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sao Paulo or Santos?
The model favours Sao Paulo at 49%, with the draw at 27%.