C.A. Progreso vs Racing Club de Montevideo: Team Comparison

C.A. Progreso C.A. ProgresovsRacing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo

Comparing C.A. Progreso and Racing Club de Montevideo across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward C.A. Progreso — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: C.A. Progreso carry the stronger recent form, C.A. Progreso project for more goals (1.48 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

C.A. ProgresoMetricRacing Club de Montevideo
62Strength rating41
43%Win probability31%
W W L LRecent formL D L W L
1.48Expected goals1.06
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, C.A. Progreso or Racing Club de Montevideo?

The model favours C.A. Progreso at 43%, with the draw at 26%.